The Consumer Price Index tracks the average change in prices consumers pay for a fixed basket of goods and services, making it the most widely followed measure of inflation. Central banks use CPI data heavily when deciding whether to raise, cut, or hold interest rates.
A CPI print that beats expectations often strengthens a currency by raising the odds of rate hikes (or delaying cuts); a soft print does the opposite — making CPI day one of the highest-volatility events on the economic calendar.
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How the Options Market Reaches the Spot Price
Option positions have to be hedged, and hedging means trading spot. What that flow is, why it clusters near certain rates, and why almost everything said about it is an estimate.